Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.070063 0.077584 0.085834 0.095603 0.106913 0.119669 0.135246
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.058812 0.069008 0.081114 0.096737 0.116648 0.141574 0.175791
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.050632 0.062048 0.076446 0.096343 0.123798 0.161421 0.218910
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045321 0.057534 0.073723 0.097436 0.132525 0.184766 0.273279
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041316 0.054004 0.071543 0.098552 0.141081 0.209424 0.337388
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038071 0.051007 0.069540 0.099357 0.149000 0.234646 0.411383
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035185 0.048131 0.067248 0.099195 0.155082 0.257970 0.490987
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032510 0.045250 0.064551 0.097870 0.158735 0.277533 0.571117
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030927 0.043834 0.063921 0.099823 0.168581 0.311884 0.704212
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028860 0.041464 0.061483 0.098231 0.171256 0.331685 0.810279
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027510 0.040102 0.060544 0.099171 0.179136 0.365637 0.981634
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026031 0.038404 0.058859 0.098463 0.183377 0.392105 1.149121
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024985 0.037360 0.058240 0.099810 0.192632 0.435535 1.425700
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024003 0.036347 0.057581 0.100994 0.201848 0.482830 1.778957
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022884 0.035017 0.056225 0.100570 0.207141 0.520874 2.144201
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022074 0.034159 0.055656 0.101725 0.216697 0.577188 2.720912
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021332 0.033368 0.055135 0.102907 0.226641 0.640161 3.498279
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020610 0.032558 0.054506 0.103759 0.235927 0.706153 4.512860
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019830 0.031593 0.053489 0.103587 0.242287 0.764511 5.693705
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018980 0.030446 0.052023 0.102183 0.244704 0.807820 6.918523
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018543 0.030038 0.052004 0.104252 0.258439 0.913331 9.829866
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017773 0.028958 0.050533 0.102565 0.259734 0.958436 12.073982
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017303 0.028420 0.050144 0.103561 0.270324 1.062470 17.193323